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Russia stance on Assad suggests divergence with Iran

Russia stance on Assad suggests divergence with Iran
November 3, 2015
Russia does not see keeping Bashar al-Assad in power as a matter of principle, the Foreign Ministry in Moscow said on Tuesday in comments that suggested a divergence of opinion with Iran, the Syrian president's other main international backer. Fuelling speculation of Russian-Iranian differences over Assad, the head of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps suggested on Monday that Tehran may be more committed to him than Moscow was. While Russia and Iran have been Assad's foremost foreign supporters during Syria's four-year-old war, the United States, its Gulf allies and Turkey have insisted the president must step down as part of any eventual peace deal.Talks in Vienna on Friday among the main foreign players involved in diplomatic efforts on Syria failed to reach agreement on Assad. Asked by a reporter on Tuesday if saving Assad was a matter of principle for Moscow, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said: "Absolutely not, we never said that." "We are not saying that Assad should leave or stay," RIA news agency quoted her as saying. But another regime change in the Middle East could be a catastrophe that "could simply turn the whole region into a large black hole", she added. Zakharova said Russia had not changed its policy on Assad and that his fate should be decided by the Syrian people. But her remarks appeared to suggest a difference of approach compared with Iran, which has sent forces to fight alongside Assad's military and ordered in fighters from the Lebanese Hezbollah group, which it controls. Russia "may not care if Assad stays in power as we do", the head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari, was quoted as saying by the Tasnim news agency on Monday. But he added: "We don't know any better person to replace him." NATIONAL DIALOGUE Syria's deputy foreign minister rejected the idea of a transitional period sought by Western states that want Assad removed from power. "We are talking about a national dialogue in Syria and an expanded government and a constitutional process. We are not at all talking about what is called a transitional period," Faisal Mekdad said during a visit to Iran. He said Assad had been elected president by a large majority and the Syrian people had confirmed there was no alternative to him as leader. Russia intervened militarily at the end of September to support Assad by launching bombing raids on rebel groups trying to overthrow him. Russian and U.S. air forces held a joint training exercise in Syria on Tuesday aimed at preventing dangerous encounters between their aircraft, Russia's defense ministry said. Syria's skies are becoming increasingly crowded as Russia and a U.S.-led coalition carry out separate air campaigns. A U.S. military official said a U.S. fighter aircraft and a Russian fighter aircraft conducted a communication test over south central Syria to validate safety protocols agreed between the two countries last month. The two aircraft came within 5 miles (8 km) of one another in a test that lasted about 3 minutes, the U.S. official said. DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS Moscow meanwhile has shown increasing flexibility in diplomatic efforts to resolve a conflict that has killed 250,000 and displaced millions. Syrian government officials and members of the country's splintered opposition could meet in Moscow next week, Interfax news agency quoted Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov as saying. He did not say which opposition members might attend, but the invitation appeared to suggest a change in tone from Moscow, which has until now dismissed such groups. Moscow's goal was not to support Assad, but to save the Syrian state and defeat terrorist groups, a Russian analyst said. "It is the beginning of a political process," said Irina Zvyagelskaya, a Middle East analyst at the Russian Academy of Sciences. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will meet U.N. Syria envoy Staffan de Mistura in Moscow on Wednesday to discuss attempts to start a dialogue between Damascus and the opposition, Moscow's foreign ministry said. At the talks in Vienna, where Russia was the leading player, Moscow said it wanted opposition groups to participate in future discussions on the Syria crisis and exchanged a list of 38 names with Saudi Arabia. The list included mostly former and current members of the National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces (SNC), Syria's Western-backed political opposition bloc, Kommersant newspaper reported on Tuesday. On the battlefield, a newly-formed U.S.-backed Syrian rebel alliance advanced against Islamic State in the northeast province of Hasaka on Tuesday, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group said. In the west, Russian warplanes carried out airstrikes in Hama province while unidentified jets bombarded the outskirts of the Islamic State-held city of Raqqa in the north. Syrian government forces and allied militia clashed in fierce battles with Islamic State fighters southeast of Aleppo city, the Observatory said. –Reuters
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