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Trade conflict looms but higher rates, oil prices help some stocks

Trade conflict looms but higher rates, oil prices help some stocks
September 15, 2018
NEW YORK (Reuters) - A world stock index climbed as bank and energy shares rose , but the momentum was sapped by a report that Washington may fire a new salvo in its trade war with Beijing. US President Donald Trump has directed aides to place US tariffs on about $200 billion(153.08 billion pounds) more of Chinese goods, according to a person familiar with the matter. This was first reported by Bloomberg. That news deflated the confidence of investors, who earlier pushed the MSCI All-Country World index .MIWD00000PUS, which tracks shares in 47 countries, to its highest level since Sept. 4. The index rose 0.22 percent on the day. On Wall Street, financial shares were helped by higher rates, which are seen to benefit banks, which can charge higher interest. Energy stocks got a boost from rising US oil prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  rose 8.68 points, or 0.03 percent, to 26,154.67, the S&P 500  gained 0.8 points, or 0.03 percent, to 2,904.98 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.67 points, or 0.05 percent, to 8,010.04. Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR briefly hit the psychologically significant 3 percent level for the first time in more than a month as prices on US government bonds fell on economic data that seems solid enough to support plans by the Federal Reserve to raise rates another two times in 2018. US crude oil futures CLcv1 settled up 0.58 percent to $68.99 per barrel. Brent LCOcv1 fell 0.12 percent to $78.09. The United States is renewing sanctions on Iran, a major oil producer, after withdrawing from a nuclear deal forged in 2015 between Tehran and world powers. The US dollar index .DXY rose 0.47 percent. The greenback has been a safe haven from setbacks on the trade front. Copper, used heavily by China, lost 2.11 percent to $5,905.50 a tonne. CMCU3 The Chinese yuan traded offshore  slipped to 6.88 per dollar from a high of 6.84 earlier in the session. Chinese shares earlier had retreated as data showed real estate investment in the country fell in August, raising concern that a cooling property market could increase risks for Beijing’s economic outlook as the trade environment worsens. “While the potential for a trade deal in the near-term remains low, a resumption of dialogue could lift sentiment and support markets,” analysts at Credit Suisse wrote in a note to clients.


A sharp interest rate increase by Turkey’s central bank to support a tumbling lira boosted emerging markets. The bank hiked its benchmark interest rate TRINT=ECI by more than one-third, to 24 percent. Currency crises in both Turkey and Argentina have stoked fears of contagion over the past several weeks, hammering emerging market assets from Indonesia and India to South Africa. Turkish lira  implied volatility gauges fell to their lowest in more than a month, as sentiment continued to improve. “The bold decision (by Turkey’s central bank) reduces the risk that a full-scale financial crisis may unfold,” analysts at Rabobank wrote in a note to clients. “The central bank’s efforts must be accompanied by an implementation of constructive macro prudential policies by the administration.” Emerging market stocks tracked by MSCI .MSCIEF rose 0.96 percent.
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