Asian shares rise for forth day on earnings, China stimulus hopes
TOKYO (Reuters) – Asian shares extended their recovery into a fourth day on Wednesday, buoyed by strong U.S. earnings and expectations that Beijing will ramp up fiscal stimulus to cushion the impact of its worsening trade dispute with Washington.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS gained 0.3 percent, led by Taiwan .MITW00000PUS, while Japan’s Nikkei .N225 ticked up 0.4 percent.
Bucking the trend were Chinese shares .SSEC .CSI, which slipped about 0.4 percent after the United States said it would begin collecting 25 percent tariffs on an additional $16 billion worth of Chinese goods this month, the second leg of its first China-targeted tariffs on $50 billion goods.
News that the fresh duties will go into effect from Aug. 23 overshadowed strong Chinese trade data, which showed exports rose more than expected in July despite US tariffs imposed early last month. Imports also rose more than forecast, suggesting its domestic demand remains resilient despite trade war fears.
But losses in China markets were tempered by signs Beijing is unveiling further measures to support growth, such as increasing infrastructure spending and tweaking its monetary policy stance.
“China’s apparent policy shift from structural reforms to short-term policy support appears to be starting to give some support to other major markets,” said Chotaro Morita, chief fixed income strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities.
“Yet the reason they have to do so is escalating trade tensions so you can’t expect much upside. On the other hand, a boost to the U.S. economy from tax cuts is peaking out soon. In coming months, the focus will be how markets will price in this peak out,” he added.
A strong second-quarter earnings season has fuelled optimism about U.S. economic strength. S&P 500 firms saw a 23.5 percent rise in their April-June profits, according to Thomson Reuters data.
Against this backdrop, the CBOE volatility index .VIX, a measure of investors’ expectation on U.S. share price volatilities and often viewed as a gauge of anxiety in financial markets, fell to a seven-month low of 10.93.
Tesla (TSLA.O) jumped 11 percent after Chief Executive Elon Musk said he was considering taking the electric car maker private.
In the foreign exchange market, major currencies kept to tight ranges. The euro was at $1.1599 EUR=, off Monday’s five-week low of $1.1530.
The yen stood little changed at 111.38 per dollar JPY= while worries about a hard Brexit kept the sterling at $1.2938 GBP=D3, just above its 11-month trough of $1.2920 set on Monday.
The Chinese yuan was little changed, keeping some distance from its 15-month lows hit last week as the central bank on Friday took steps to curb bets against the currency by raising the cost for investors to short the yuan.
But pressure on the Chinese currency remained strong.
“The Chinese authorities do not seem to be aiming to push up the yuan. Considering that US is likely to impose another tariff on $200 billion imports from China, speculators are betting on further falls in the yuan,” said Naoki Tashiro, president of TS China Research.
“The US is raising rates while China is easing its monetary policy. For speculators, dollar buying is the obvious trade,” he added.
The Turkish lira, the biggest mover in recent days, kept some distance from Monday’s record low, trading at 5.2600 per dollar TRYTOM=D3, versus Monday’s low of 5.425,
Still, it is down almost 7 percent so far this month on deepening concerns about a rift with the United States and on President Tayyip Erdogan’s influence over the central bank.
Oil prices held firm after U.S. sanctions on Iranian goods went into effect, intensifying concerns that sanctions on Iranian oil, expected in November, could cause supply shortages.
Brent futures LCOc1 stood at $74.65 a barrel, flat on the day but maintaining gains of about 2 percent so far this week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 traded at $69.25 per barrel, up 0.1 percent on the day for a gain of 1.1 percent this week.