Oil prices edge up on expected drop in US crude stocks
SEOUL (Reuters) – Oil markets nudged higher on Tuesday, buoyed by expectations of a drop in US crude stockpiles and after last week’s deal between OPEC and other crude producers to extend output curbs.
International benchmark Brent crude futures LCOc1 were trading up 6 cents, or 0.1 percent, from their last close at $62.51 per barrel by 0410 GMT.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were up 12 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $57.59 per barrel.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producers last week rolled over their agreement to cut output by 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) until the end of 2018, aiming to erode a global glut and drive up prices.
Goldman Sachs said Saudi Arabia and Russia showed a stronger commitment to extending cuts and raised its Brent and WTI spot forecasts for 2018 to $62 and $57.50 per barrel respectively.
“By 2019, however, we believe the response of shale and other producers to higher prices will incentivise OPEC and Russia to pare back their now greater spare capacity, leaving risks to prices skewed to the downside,” the bank added.
In November, OPEC crude oil output fell by 300,000 bpd to its lowest since May, according to a Reuters survey released on Monday.
“Both contracts (Brent and WTI) have now tested and failed major resistance levels, and all eyes will now be on the US crude inventory data due tonight and tomorrow,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.
While rising US oil production remains a hurdle for OPEC’s efforts to rebalance the market, US crude inventories likely fell last week, marking their third straight weekly drop, a preliminary Reuters poll showed.
Seven analysts polled ahead of inventory reports from the industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) and the US Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimated, on average, that crude stocks fell 3.5 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 1.
The official government inventory data is due on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT).